Deep Dive
1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: AIOZ broke below its 7-day SMA ($0.3077) and 30-day SMA ($0.35875), with the MACD histogram deepening to -0.0038 – a bearish divergence. The RSI14 at 38.69 nears oversold territory but hasn’t triggered a reversal signal.
What this means: The breakdown below moving averages suggests weakening buyer support. With the price now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.33396), failure to hold this zone could open downside toward $0.298 (June 2025 low).
Key watch: A daily close above $0.33396 Fibonacci support could stabilize prices, while a break below risks accelerating selling.
2. Sector-Wide AI Token Weakness (Mixed Impact)
Overview: AI-focused tokens like Aethir (-3.96%) and Akash Network (-9.54%) also declined, per June 18 data. However, AIOZ underperformed peers despite its DePIN-focused AI marketplace launch in May 2025.
What this means: While the broader AI crypto sector cooled, AIOZ’s steeper drop hints at project-specific factors – possibly skepticism about its ability to scale decentralized CDN/AI infrastructure against rivals like Theta.
Key metric: Monitor the Altcoin Season Index (53 as of September 7) – a rise above 75 could signal renewed risk appetite for tokens like AIOZ.
3. Post-News Volatility (Bearish Impact)
Overview: AIOZ rallied 23.93% in early August after announcing its DePIN-powered AI marketplace but has since retraced 28.3% from its August 10 peak of $0.3865.
What this means: The “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern emerged – typical for protocol upgrades without immediate user growth. Recent exchange listings (e.g., Biconomy’s August 16 listing) failed to sustain momentum.
Data point: Trading volume dropped 38.8% to $6M in 24h, suggesting reduced conviction.
Conclusion
AIOZ’s decline reflects technical breakdowns, sector-wide AI token fatigue, and profit-taking after its August rally. While its DePIN infrastructure upgrades (like AIOZ Stream’s upcoming launch) offer long-term potential, short-term sentiment remains fragile.
Key watch: Can AIOZ hold the $0.298–$0.333 Fibonacci zone? A break below could see retests of June’s $0.28 lows, while stabilization here might attract contrarian buyers eyeing its AI/CDN use cases.