Latest Inverse Finance (INV) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
05 September 2025 11:03AM (UTC+0)

Why is INV’s price up today? (05/09/2025)

TLDR

Inverse Finance (INV) rose 8.54% over the last 24h, outperforming the broader crypto market (+0.85%). The surge aligns with a 49% gain over 30 days. Here are the main factors:

  1. FiRM Metrics Surge – TVL, borrows, and revenue growth signal platform recovery.

  2. Bad Debt Resolution – $2.6M repayment reduces systemic risk for DOLA stablecoin.

  3. Technical Breakout – Price clears key resistance levels amid bullish momentum.

Deep Dive

1. FiRM Metrics Surge (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Inverse’s fixed-rate lending platform FiRM saw total value locked (TVL) jump 37% to $158.2M in July, with borrows up 27% and annualized revenue doubling to $11.3M (Inverse Finance).

What this means: Rising TVL and borrowing demand reflect renewed user confidence and organic growth, directly boosting protocol revenue. Higher revenue strengthens INV’s utility as a governance token, as fees accrue to holders via buybacks or dividends.

What to look out for: Sustained TVL growth post-August 1 metrics and DOLA stablecoin circulation trends (+18% in July).

2. Bad Debt Resolution (Mixed Impact)

Overview: On July 28, Inverse raised $2.6M by selling INV tokens at a discount to investors, reducing bad debt from $12M to $3.4M (Yahoo Finance).

What this means: While reducing bad debt mitigates risks to DOLA’s stability, the token sale diluted existing holders. Investors paid 25 DOLA ($25) per INV vs. $43 market price, creating sell pressure when tokens unlock in January 2026. Short-term sentiment improved, but long-term depends on protocol sustainability.

3. Technical Breakout (Bullish Impact)

Overview: INV broke above its 7-day SMA ($52.85) and Fibonacci 23.6% retracement ($54.73), with RSI (59) suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions.

What this means: The 24h volume spike (+95%) confirms buyer conviction. A sustained hold above $54.73 could target the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $65.25. However, MACD’s bearish crossover (-0.095) warns of near-term consolidation.

Conclusion

INV’s rally combines improving fundamentals (FiRM growth, reduced debt) with technical momentum, though dilution risks linger. Traders appear to reward progress toward stabilizing the protocol, but macroeconomic DeFi risks—highlighted by the August 13 ODIN•FUN exploit—remain a sector-wide headwind.

Key watch: Can INV hold above $60.50 (current price) to challenge the $65.25 resistance, or will profit-taking reverse gains? Monitor FiRM’s August TVL data for confirmation.

Why is INV’s price down today? (19/08/2025)

TLDR

Inverse Finance (INV) fell 22.9% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-3.36%). The drop reverses recent gains (+8% 7d, +14.94% 30d) and reflects three key factors:

  1. DeFi exploit spillover – A $7M hack at Bitcoin DeFi project ODIN•FUN reignited fears about protocol vulnerabilities, directly referencing Inverse’s $16M April exploit (PeckShield).

  2. Technical overextension – RSI14 hit 84.6 (extreme overbought) before the selloff, signaling correction risks.

  3. Bad debt concerns – Despite recent progress, $3.4M unresolved bad debt from past exploits resurfaced as a bearish narrative.

Deep Dive

1. DeFi Exploit Spillover (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The August 13 ODIN•FUN hack highlighted persistent DeFi security risks, with Inverse Finance explicitly named as a past victim of similar attacks. This triggered fear-driven selling among INV holders, compounded by INV’s -47% 24h trading volume drop.

What this means: DeFi exploits erode confidence in smaller protocols like Inverse, which lack the liquidity buffers of larger players. The direct mention in ODIN•FUN’s post-mortem likely amplified FUD, despite no new INV vulnerabilities being reported.

What to look out for: Protocol assurances from Inverse’s team and progress on the remaining $3.4M bad debt repayment.

2. Technical Overextension (Bearish Impact)

Overview: INV’s RSI14 peaked at 84.6 on August 18 – its most overbought level since April’s post-exploit rebound. Prices broke below the critical 50% Fibonacci retracement level ($48.83), accelerating stop-loss triggers.

What this means: The RSI reset suggests profit-taking after a 63% 60-day rally. With the 24h low testing the 30-day SMA ($42.48), further downside could materialize if this support fails.

3. Bad Debt Overhang (Mixed Impact)

Overview: While Inverse reduced bad debt from $12M to $3.4M via a July 28 token sale, the unresolved balance remains a liability. The DAO’s plan to borrow from 40acres.finance for repayment introduces counterparty risk.

What this means: Progress alleviates systemic risks (bullish), but reliance on external protocols and locked investor tokens (6-month cliff) creates medium-term supply overhang concerns.

Conclusion

INV’s drop combines sector-wide risk aversion, technical profit-taking, and lingering balance sheet concerns. While FiRM’s growth metrics (+37% July TVL) suggest fundamental improvement, the protocol remains hypersensitive to DeFi security narratives.

Key watch: Can INV hold the 30-day SMA ($42.48), or will ODIN•FUN-related FUD push it toward the 200-day EMA ($33.85)?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.