Deep Dive
1. FiRM Metrics Surge (Bullish Impact)
Overview: Inverse’s fixed-rate lending platform FiRM saw total value locked (TVL) jump 37% to $158.2M in July, with borrows up 27% and annualized revenue doubling to $11.3M (Inverse Finance).
What this means: Rising TVL and borrowing demand reflect renewed user confidence and organic growth, directly boosting protocol revenue. Higher revenue strengthens INV’s utility as a governance token, as fees accrue to holders via buybacks or dividends.
What to look out for: Sustained TVL growth post-August 1 metrics and DOLA stablecoin circulation trends (+18% in July).
2. Bad Debt Resolution (Mixed Impact)
Overview: On July 28, Inverse raised $2.6M by selling INV tokens at a discount to investors, reducing bad debt from $12M to $3.4M (Yahoo Finance).
What this means: While reducing bad debt mitigates risks to DOLA’s stability, the token sale diluted existing holders. Investors paid 25 DOLA ($25) per INV vs. $43 market price, creating sell pressure when tokens unlock in January 2026. Short-term sentiment improved, but long-term depends on protocol sustainability.
3. Technical Breakout (Bullish Impact)
Overview: INV broke above its 7-day SMA ($52.85) and Fibonacci 23.6% retracement ($54.73), with RSI (59) suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions.
What this means: The 24h volume spike (+95%) confirms buyer conviction. A sustained hold above $54.73 could target the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $65.25. However, MACD’s bearish crossover (-0.095) warns of near-term consolidation.
Conclusion
INV’s rally combines improving fundamentals (FiRM growth, reduced debt) with technical momentum, though dilution risks linger. Traders appear to reward progress toward stabilizing the protocol, but macroeconomic DeFi risks—highlighted by the August 13 ODIN•FUN exploit—remain a sector-wide headwind.
Key watch: Can INV hold above $60.50 (current price) to challenge the $65.25 resistance, or will profit-taking reverse gains? Monitor FiRM’s August TVL data for confirmation.