Deep Dive
1. Coinbase Listing & Token Distribution (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
KTA is preparing for a Coinbase listing, but 60% of eligible airdrop tokens remain unclaimed as of 9 September 2025. Unclaimed tokens could flood the market post-listing, increasing selling pressure. However, the listing itself may boost liquidity and institutional interest.
What this means:
The listing could drive short-term demand, but the unclaimed tokens (~252M KTA at current prices) represent a $257M overhang. Historically, similar events (e.g., Kraken listing in August) caused a 13.5% rally but were followed by volatility. Watch for claim rates and exchange volume post-launch.
2. Mainnet Development Timeline (Bullish Catalyst)
Overview:
Keeta’s team released a 7-item roadmap for its mainnet launch, emphasizing scalability (10M+ TPS claims) and cross-chain interoperability. A June 2025 stress test with Google Spanner engineers temporarily boosted prices by 15%.
What this means:
Successful mainnet deployment could solidify KTA’s position in the RWA sector, which grew 6.9% in August. Delays or underwhelming performance might reignite skepticism from June’s fake-testnet allegations, which previously crashed prices 99%.
3. Whale Activity & Sentiment (Bullish Signal)
Overview:
Whales added 75M KTA (+3.15% supply) in 30 days, per AMBCrypto, while retail sentiment remains negative (Weighted Sentiment: -0.571). A single whale purchased $2.16M KTA in June, mirroring a $9.3M profit trade from March.
What this means:
Large holders often front-run catalysts like exchange listings. However, RSI (59.56) and MACD (0.0126) suggest neutral momentum—whales may wait for clearer signals before decisive moves.
Conclusion
KTA’s near-term trajectory hinges on balancing Coinbase-driven demand against airdrop supply shocks, while long-term viability depends on mainnet execution. The RWA sector’s growth (+6.9% in August) and whale accumulation provide tailwinds, but unclaimed tokens and technical resistance at $1.40 pose risks.
Will the mainnet launch finally validate Keeta’s 10M TPS claims, or will unclaimed tokens cap upside?